Two of the greatest words in the English language: "What if...."
Sigh. This is a post very near and dear to my heart. The state of affairs surrounding the SF 49ers. Since coach Steve Mariucci was let go in 2002, the niners haven't even been close enough to sniff the post season. Then there was the Dennis Erickson signing, which, in coaching terms, was a little like trading in your late model Toyota Camry, for the 1984 Buick Skylark with cracked leather interior (it still cannot be confirmed or denied that Dennis actually owns one of these, making the analogy even more perfect). The "Ek" (the first and last time he will ever be reference by that name) lasted all of one season, but the exit wound he left on the franchise would be the 5 seasons of futility that have left Bay Area fans reeling.
Niners fans, if you're still reading, stay with me. Take a deep breath. Relax. I have a plan. I can fix this. Or at least I could have 2 months ago. The niners had a shot at turning a 2007-08 Bostonian Celtic-like turn around, with a few key personnel changes. So bear with me as we journey in the way-back machine to the beginning of the year. Eli Manning was still a poor performance away from being labeled a bust, the Patriots still had a chance, Brett Favre could still have gone out on top, and Isiah Thomas was ruining one of basketballs' most prestigious franchises (some things never change).
Let's start with the current problems with the roster that gave us a gaudy 5-11 record. God, those were painful numbers to type.
- Alex Smith- Smith's started out his career with awful stats and even worse success. I really should confirm this, but I believe in his rookie campaign, he threw more TDs to the other team than to his own. *shaking head*. Then something happened when he was coupled with a man known for tutelage of young QBs and turning around their fate- Norv Turner. He showed signs of improvement running Norv's offense until Turner bolted to coach the, well, the 'Bolts in San Diego. Smith never looked in rhythm the next year and had injury problems that forced him to take a giant step back in his development. This relationship between Turner and Smith where Smith seems to have relied on the ability of another so totally reminds me of another NFL relationship. The 2004 Daunte Culpepper and Randy Moss duo. The 2004 incarnation of Culpepper had 41 TDs on that squad. Fans of the 2006 Dolphins, you read that right, 41 TDs! All those endzone grabs went well with his 110.9 passer rating. Recent history has not been kind to Daunte. Losing Moss as his "just throw it up and he'll catch anything on the field" receiver, he's bounced around to 2 of the leagues worst teams by record. This relationship where one player relies too heavy on the talents and abilities of another needs a name. We'll call it "MossPepper"
That's what Smith got, was MossPeppered by Norv Turner. And Martz' system is going to put up great numbers but his QBs always get hurt since they spend too much time in the pocket. I don't see this helping the development of a yet to be established franchise QB.
- The O-line- Actually this wasn't as big of a personnel problem as people think. They just couldn't stay healthy. Another Joe Staley or two in the draft and we might be ok in a year or two. Losing the corpse of Larry Allen and his bad back is not so bad.
- The receivers- D-Jack was a bust and Arnaz Battle is a no. 3 possession receiver at best. Major help needed here
- The pass rush- Bryant Young, the last Niner from the 1994 Super Bowl squad has retired and we have lost one of the classiest and loyal players to lace up in a 49er uniform. We the fans thank you for outstanding contributions. But this area couldn't be a bigger need.
What they should have done?
#1 priority is to give Smith some competition for the QB spot and sadly, I'm not talking about Shaun Hill. They had a decent off season in picking up a franchise tagged DE from Cinci (who is marginally a pass rusher and more of a clog the line type) a first rounder receiver cast off from the Cardinal's two 1,000 yard receivers offense and a backup RB to iron man Frank Gore.
I would have loved for them to have made a run at Derek Anderson of Cleveland. A sign and trade could totally have been possible. All reports were that Cleveland was shopping him as Brady Quinn was waiting in the wings.
If you're Cleveland's GM, tell me you wouldn't turn down Manny Lawson, and SF's 1st and 3rd rounders to let your #1 pick play anyway (this was the plan right all along). Meanwhile SF picks up a Probowl caliber QB (they need this right? even if 2007 was an aberration it at least gives Smith a reason to pull things together and not worry about his coach yapping about a shoulder injury)? Are we really all that sure that Alex Smith isn't going the way of becoming the next David Carr? Former #1 pick? Check. Mediocre first 3 years? Check. Attended Mid Major School with gaudy stats that perhaps over inflated his draft value? Check. Smith might be careful- he's becoming dangerously close to growing his hair own, chatting up the media about his "year over year" improvement and becoming surprised when his agent informs him the Jets want to pursue him for their back-up QB role. Man. I totally digress.
Had the Niners pursued D-rock more agressively, hell maybe they had, they might have given themselves a better contingency plan if Alex Smith does his eventual bow out. I hope I am wrong here, really, I totally want this. But a late round draft pick is not going to save this organization like a Derek Anderson might. Plus the Cleveland QB and Pac-10 alum would get to return to the coast that he came from.
Alright enough for now. I'm spending too many of my thoughts on SF's off season and I'm not sure I can continue to think about the upcoming 2008 season. It's going to be brutal.